WA-08 election results: Schrier leads Meline districtwide

Official statewide feed checked November 3, 2026, at 11:28 p.m. Pacific. Its latest publication remains 9:53 p.m.; results are unofficial.

Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier led Republican Spencer Meline by 33,317 votes in Washington’s 8th Congressional District. The Washington Secretary of State’s districtwide return showed 125,927 votes for Schrier, 92,610 for Meline and 473 write-ins: 57.50%, 42.29% and 0.22% of those votes, respectively. The feed was published at 9:53 p.m. Pacific and remained unofficial. Washington statewide results

This is a Seattle-region contest, not a citywide Seattle seat. The district covers parts of King and Pierce counties and extends across the Cascades into central Washington. Schrier is a former pediatrician, while Meline is a Leavenworth small-business owner making his first run for office. FOX 13’s district and candidate report

What does the last midterm tell us?

In 2022, Schrier beat Republican Matt Larkin by 23,027 votes, according to Washington’s certified results.

2022 candidate	Votes	Vote share
Kim Schrier	179,003	53.27%
Matt Larkin	155,976	46.42%
Write-ins	1,059	0.32%

The margin was approximately 6.85 percentage points using the displayed shares. It is a useful baseline for the same office in the last midterm, but Meline is a different opponent. The 2022 result is not evidence of a 2026 outcome.

The current districtwide major-candidate gap is about 15.2 percentage points, wider than the completed 2022 margin. It is still an unfinished comparison. A King County subtotal cannot substitute for these totals from all six counties in the district.

What were traders expecting?

At approximately 7:20 p.m. Pacific, the Polymarket WA-08 event showed a Yes price of 97.05 cents on the Democratic Party contract labeled for Schrier. The Republican contract labeled for Meline was 1.75 cents.

Window ending at the snapshot	Democratic Yes-price change
One day	−0.75 cents
One week	−0.40 cents
One month	−1.35 cents

The Democratic contract had only about $15,354 in reported trading volume and a 3.1-cent bid-ask spread. The 0.75-cent daily move is smaller than that 3.1-cent trading spread. Treating it as a clear change in public sentiment would give a small movement more meaning than this thin market supports. A thin contract’s price is not a representative poll, and the separate contracts need not add to exactly 100 cents.

These are reported rolling changes, not a complete historical price series. They show a strongly favored contract with a modest recent decline, without establishing why it moved or who won.

How much did each candidate raise?

Federal records make it possible to distinguish contributions from money loaned by the candidate:

FEC measure through October 14	Schrier	Meline
Total receipts	$3,766,607.24	$157,773.63
Contributions	$3,694,913.85	$72,773.63
Candidate loans	$0	$85,000
Cash on hand	$3,216,892.25	$72,721.22

Schrier’s FEC summary covers January 1, 2025, through October 14, 2026. Meline’s summary covers January 1 through October 14, 2026.

Meline’s $85,000 candidate loan accounts for approximately 54% of his reported receipts, calculated from those two figures. Calling his entire $157,773.63 total “donations” would therefore misdescribe more than half the money. Schrier’s contributions include money from individuals and other committees, not just individual donors.

The definition changes the comparison: Schrier’s receipts were about 23.9 times Meline’s, while her contributions were about 50.8 times his. Both are arithmetic comparisons of the disclosed totals, with different campaign start dates. The larger ratio does not measure the number of donors or voters backing either candidate.

These figures describe campaign finances through their reporting deadlines. They do not include every later transaction or establish that fundraising caused an election outcome.

What could the winner change?

Schrier’s published priorities emphasize healthcare affordability and household costs. Meline’s platform, as reported by FOX 13, emphasizes lower federal spending, deregulation and domestic fuel production. Both the source of a proposal and its route to implementation matter.

This is an election for one member of the U.S. House. The most useful policy follow-up is what that member introduces, supports and helps move through Congress. A campaign promise is not a new benefit available the next morning.

Household question	Evidence to follow after the result
Will healthcare become more affordable?	Specific bill text, eligibility and votes
Will energy policy change household costs?	Adopted federal measures and their actual coverage
Will a local project receive funding?	An approved award naming the project and recipient

For regional readers, this separates the immediate election answer from the harder question: which commitments become funded policy, and who benefits when they do?

For Seattle’s local ballot result, see Proposition 1’s transit-tax vote.